Sitemap - 2025 - Above The Fold
Betting on the Millennium Problems
How To Win Friends and Influence Districts
Above the Fold of the Pontic Steppe
Kamchatka, Baba Vanga, Lobster Stew, and Basal Ganglia
Is This the End of Human Exceptionalism?
Manifold, the "NYC of Social Prediction Markets"
Forecasting the Trump-Musk Breakup
Financial Complex Stumbled & Nuked
Manifest: Startup Pitch Competition, Night Market, & Career Fair
Above the Fold, From Alcatraz to Zuppi
Above the Folded Secret Ballot
The Government Probably Isn't Shutting Down
I bet against a space launch as I cheered it on
Recession Odds Skyrocket, Sky Rocket Odds Recede
AI and Political Realignments, Foreign and Domestic
Predicting who will live the longest
Focusing on Mana, Bringing Sweepstakes to an End