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Beyond the Fold
Forecasting the unfalsifiable.
Mar 30
•
Sahaj
16
1
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All Flanks, No Front
On Britain's safeguards, and their failure.
Mar 17
•
Sahaj
22
Manifold Takes the Oscars
It's too late to watch the films in theaters but not too late to trade on them
Mar 12
•
Ben
19
2
1
Forecasting Texas
The bellwether state for the midterms this fall
Mar 3
•
Ben
21
Forecasting Operation Fury
On the markets, the metagame, and what 47% doesn't tell you.
Mar 1
•
Sahaj
27
Anthropic vs the Pentagon
Forecasting the standoff
Feb 26
•
Ben
21
4
3
Above the Pitch
FIFA theatrics and the Premier league's annual tradition
Feb 25
•
Sahaj
9
1
Announcing MNX, the AI Exchange
We're very excited about this new project!
Feb 18
•
Manifold Markets
27
3
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