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The (mostly) Beautiful Game
The football has been excellent. The governance less so.
Jul 10
•
Sahaj
16
Forecasting Maine
With Platner Likely Out, What do the Markets Say?
Jul 8
•
Ben
14
1
Forecasting the World Cup
Knockouts are underway!
Jun 28
•
Ben
20
1
Temporary Unavailable
And probably back soon.
Jun 18
•
Sahaj
27
2
Forecasting Primary Day
Arguably the second most important election day of the year
Jun 2
•
Ben
17
An Orderly Succession
On a plumber, a mayor, and the keys to Downing Street
May 27
•
Sahaj
18
1
Forecasting Mathematics
The proof is in the pudding
May 21
•
Sahaj
26
2
Forecasting Hantavirus
Probably not the next global pandemic
May 18
•
Ben
30
Forecasting Musk v. Altman
The trial of the year draws to a close
May 14
•
Ben
26
ACX Contest x Manifold
The Astral Codex Ten annual forecasting competition was my introduction to the world of forecasting, several years back.
Apr 29
•
Ben
28
Forecasting California
Golden State politics are back
Apr 20
•
Ben
21
1
Forecasting AI Economics
IPOs, valuation markets, and the prospects of an AI bubble
Apr 11
•
Ben
26
1
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