Archive - Above The Fold

Betting on the Millennium Problems

Twitter wagers and unsolved problems in mathematics

Dec 22, 2025 • Ben

Above the Island

Where novelty Trump condoms meet Grand jury materials

Dec 16, 2025 • Sahaj

Peak TIME POTY Drama

The grayest of gray areas

Dec 11, 2025 • Ben

Carriers and Consequences

The world's largest oil reserves and America's shortest attention span

Dec 8, 2025 • Sahaj

And how you can manifest a 'Manifest x' Too

Dec 1, 2025 • Ben

November 2025

Forecasting Claude

Above the Fold is "Playing it Safe"

Nov 26, 2025 • Ben

Forecasting Gemini

Above the Fold is "Thinking with 3 Pro"

Nov 20, 2025 • Ben

Above the Thames

What Happens When The Centre Cannot Hold (and isn't trying)

Nov 7, 2025 • Sahaj

Election Day Marketeering

Above the Fold covers an off-year election day

Nov 4, 2025 • Ben

October 2025

Forecasting AI's leading firm

Oct 29, 2025 • Ben

Calm Before the Storm

All the news that's fit to bet on

Oct 22, 2025 • Ben

Above the Fold plays the waiting game

Oct 9, 2025 • Ben

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