Above The Fold
Subscribe
Sign in
Home
The Odds
From Manifold
Changelog
Archive
About
Latest
Top
Discussions
Forecasting Ithaca
Brave Odysseus, historically-accurate Odysseus, diffusion model-generated Odysseus
Jul 27
•
Ben
18
Man vs Bin
The bin is the unity candidate.
Jul 23
•
Sahaj
19
1
1
The (mostly) Beautiful Game
The football has been excellent. The governance less so.
Jul 10
•
Sahaj
16
Forecasting Maine
With Platner Likely Out, What do the Markets Say?
Jul 8
•
Ben
14
1
Changelog 7/1: Manifold Jobs, Live Goal Markers, and a Big Pile of Small Improvements
We’ve been working on some really cool new things which are hopefully coming soon, but for now, here’s all of the minor improvements we’ve made in…
Jul 7
•
Tod
6
June 2026
Forecasting the World Cup
Knockouts are underway!
Jun 28
•
Ben
20
1
Temporary Unavailable
And probably back soon.
Jun 18
•
Sahaj
27
2
Changelog 6/9: Official World Cup Markets from @ManifoldSports, Auto-Resolution, Dashboard Revival, Updated Community Guidelines, and more
Fresh features in time for the World Cup!
Jun 11
•
stef.
and
Manifold Markets
9
1
Forecasting Primary Day
Arguably the second most important election day of the year
Jun 2
•
Ben
17
May 2026
An Orderly Succession
On a plumber, a mayor, and the keys to Downing Street
May 27
•
Sahaj
18
1
Changelog 5/22: Bonuses, Blocks & Colors
Plus some new ways to filter markets, new trading log UI, and personalize mana offers
May 23
•
wasabipesto
and
Manifold Markets
13
1
Forecasting Mathematics
The proof is in the pudding
May 21
•
Sahaj
26
2
This site requires JavaScript to run correctly. Please
turn on JavaScript
or unblock scripts
