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Above the Fold - Create your private group!
SFF Grant, CE tournament, Leagues, private groups and more!
May 25
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Manifold Markets
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Above the Fold - Create your private group!
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Whales vs. Minnows and Pitfalls of Prediction Markets
Guest post by Resident Contrarian
May 4
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Manifold Markets
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Whales vs. Minnows and Pitfalls of Prediction Markets
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April 2023
Above the Fold - Manifold Madness
A look at GPT, gamification of Manifold, April Fools, and The market
Apr 13
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Above the Fold - Manifold Madness
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Forecasting the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank
Guest post by Resident Contrarian
Apr 5
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Manifold Markets
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Forecasting the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank
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March 2023
Above the Fold - Manifund is here!
Manifund, Discord bot, Metaculus vs Manifold, memes and more!
Mar 9
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Manifold Markets
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Above the Fold - Manifund is here!
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February 2023
Above the Fold - Donate before March!
Urgent! Mana will no longer be donable to charity after this month.
Feb 21
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Above the Fold - Donate before March!
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January 2023
Above the Fold: Manifold integrates GPT-3
Manifold plays chess, draws penises, and scores at the 99.5th percentile in a prediction contest
Jan 25
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Manifold Markets
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Above the Fold: Manifold integrates GPT-3
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Above the Fold - Reflecting on 2022
Discussing how Manifold was founded and what we learnt in our first year!
Jan 6
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Manifold Markets
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Above the Fold - Reflecting on 2022
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December 2022
Above the Fold: Did SBF commit fraud?
Self-resolving mechanisms, Aella markets, SBF, and a ton of updates
Dec 6, 2022
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Above the Fold: Did SBF commit fraud?
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November 2022
Above the Fold: Play-money efficacy
Play-money efficacy in forecasting Many skeptics don’t think Manifold Markets can be taken seriously due to “monopoly money” not creating real…
Nov 21, 2022
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Above the Fold: Play-money efficacy
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Above the Fold: Midterms Special
Deep-dive analysis on how well calibrated Manifold markets is and more!
Nov 7, 2022
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Above the Fold: Midterms Special
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October 2022
Above the Fold - Visualising market data
Is this our juiciest newsletter yet?
Oct 20, 2022
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Above the Fold - Visualising market data
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