Above The Fold
Subscribe
Sign in
Home
Archive
About
Latest
Top
Discussions
Forecasting a Post-Biden World
It’s Joever, as the kids say — Joever, Bidone. But who will win the election now, and what’s next for America? A politics piece by Jacob Cohen…
Jul 22
•
Manifold Markets
24
Share this post
Forecasting a Post-Biden World
news.manifold.markets
Copy link
Facebook
Email
Note
Other
Biden’s Paths Forward, According to Manifold
We give him a 27% chance of being replaced as nominee. The next few days will be pivotal. A politics piece by Jacob Cohen (@Conflux).
Jul 1
•
Manifold Markets
18
Share this post
Biden’s Paths Forward, According to Manifold
news.manifold.markets
Copy link
Facebook
Email
Note
Other
4
June 2024
Manifold vs. 538 vs. Everyone Else: Comparing 2024 Election Forecasts
The election’s still basically tied. But who’s winning? (A politics piece by Jacob “Conflux” Cohen)
Jun 17
•
Manifold Markets
16
Share this post
Manifold vs. 538 vs. Everyone Else: Comparing 2024 Election Forecasts
news.manifold.markets
Copy link
Facebook
Email
Note
Other
May 2024
Dev insights - Creator Partner Program
Creators earn $10k, how the program was created, and what's next
May 24
•
Manifold Markets
15
Share this post
Dev insights - Creator Partner Program
news.manifold.markets
Copy link
Facebook
Email
Note
Other
Last chance: get your tickets to Manifest ASAP!
June 7-9 in Berkeley, CA — ticket prices increase on May 13
May 6
•
Saul Munn
15
Share this post
Last chance: get your tickets to Manifest ASAP!
news.manifold.markets
Copy link
Facebook
Email
Note
Other
Cash prizes for good predictions
Exploring cash prizes, uncapping charity donations (act now!), and making the mana supply sustainable.
May 1
•
Manifold Markets
16
Share this post
Cash prizes for good predictions
news.manifold.markets
Copy link
Facebook
Email
Note
Other
March 2024
Come to Manifest 2024 (June 7-9 in Berkeley)
Manifold is hosting a festival for prediction markets: Manifest 2024! We’ll have serious talks, attendee-run workshops, and fun side events over the…
Mar 27
•
Saul Munn
16
Share this post
Come to Manifest 2024 (June 7-9 in Berkeley)
news.manifold.markets
Copy link
Facebook
Email
Note
Other
Manifold Love - Retrospective
What we learnt from creating a wild dating app
Mar 8
•
Manifold Markets
32
Share this post
Manifold Love - Retrospective
news.manifold.markets
Copy link
Facebook
Email
Note
Other
9
Above the Fold - Super Tuesday
Will polls and prediction markets be proven right? Trump overtakes Biden.
Mar 5
•
Manifold Markets
15
Share this post
Above the Fold - Super Tuesday
news.manifold.markets
Copy link
Facebook
Email
Note
Other
February 2024
How Inevitable is Biden’s Nomination, According to Manifold Superforecasters?
A politics piece by Jacob "Conflux" Cohen
Feb 20
•
Manifold Markets
19
Share this post
How Inevitable is Biden’s Nomination, According to Manifold Superforecasters?
news.manifold.markets
Copy link
Facebook
Email
Note
Other
Above the Fold: Do you want a guaranteed date?
Manifold Love premium and Bet on Love soundtrack are out now!
Feb 15
•
Manifold Markets
8
Share this post
Above the Fold: Do you want a guaranteed date?
news.manifold.markets
Copy link
Facebook
Email
Note
Other
1
Bet on Love, final tickets
Saturday 10th, tickets nearly sold out! Meet the contestants and musicians!
Feb 7
•
Manifold Markets
5
Share this post
Bet on Love, final tickets
news.manifold.markets
Copy link
Facebook
Email
Note
Other
Share
Copy link
Facebook
Email
Note
Other
This site requires JavaScript to run correctly. Please
turn on JavaScript
or unblock scripts