Above The Fold
Subscribe
Sign in
Home
The Odds
From Manifold
Changelog
Archive
About
Latest
Top
Discussions
Temporary Unavailable
And probably back soon.
Jun 18
•
Sahaj
26
1
Changelog 6/9: Official World Cup Markets from @ManifoldSports, Auto-Resolution, Dashboard Revival, Updated Community Guidelines, and more
Fresh features in time for the World Cup!
Jun 11
•
stef.
and
Manifold Markets
9
1
Forecasting Primary Day
Arguably the second most important election day of the year
Jun 2
•
Ben
17
May 2026
An Orderly Succession
On a plumber, a mayor, and the keys to Downing Street
May 27
•
Sahaj
18
1
Changelog 5/22: Bonuses, Blocks & Colors
Plus some new ways to filter markets, new trading log UI, and personalize mana offers
May 23
•
wasabipesto
and
Manifold Markets
13
1
Forecasting Mathematics
The proof is in the pudding
May 21
•
Sahaj
26
2
Forecasting Hantavirus
Probably not the next global pandemic
May 18
•
Ben
30
$11,000 in Prizes, 2x Trader Bonuses, Mana Rewards
Check out some of the ways you can win prizes, get swag, donate to charity, and ask your burning questions
May 15
•
stef.
,
Tod
, and
Manifold Markets
17
Forecasting Musk v. Altman
The trial of the year draws to a close
May 14
•
Ben
26
Changelog 5/8: Shop Improvements, Silicon Rewards & More
Check out our recent site updates!
May 8
•
wasabipesto
and
Manifold Markets
21
3
1
April 2026
ACX Contest x Manifold
The Astral Codex Ten annual forecasting competition was my introduction to the world of forecasting, several years back.
Apr 29
•
Ben
28
Forecasting California
Golden State politics are back
Apr 20
•
Ben
21
1
This site requires JavaScript to run correctly. Please
turn on JavaScript
or unblock scripts
