Archive - Above The Fold

November 2024

October 2024

2024 Senate Race Rundown: Part 2

WV, MT, AZ, NV, PA, WI, OH, MI, oh my: all the elections where Democrats are defending. A politics update by Jacob Cohen (@Conflux).

Oct 29 •

Ramping up sweepstakes

Sweepcash competition, Institutional partners wanted, deals, and new markets

Oct 26 •

Manifold Markets

2024 Senate Race Rundown: Part 1

Could Democrats win a Senate seat in Texas? Florida? Nebraska??? It’s not as crazy as it sounds. A politics update by Jacob Cohen (@Conflux).

Oct 23 •

Is Trump really 62% to win?

Understanding Trump's odds, Hurricanes, and Manifold's revenue

Oct 17 •

Manifold Markets

Are the 13 Keys to the White House Worthless?

Allan Lichtman’s “13 Keys” election prediction system has a disputed track record and serious flaws. But it might still be worth learning about. A…

Oct 15 •

Jimmy Carter's 100th Birthday!

Carter did what he once had a 2% chance of doing: becoming the first centenarian president! A retrospective by Jacob Cohen (@Conflux).

Oct 1 •

September 2024

Cash prizes are here!

Our biggest announcement ever!

Sep 25 •

Manifold Markets

#nojs-banner { position: fixed; bottom: 0; left: 0; padding: 16px 16px 16px 32px; width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box; background: red; color: white; font-family: -apple-system, "Segoe UI", Roboto, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif, "Apple Color Emoji", "Segoe UI Emoji", "Segoe UI Symbol"; font-size: 13px; line-height: 13px; } #nojs-banner a { color: inherit; text-decoration: underline; } This site requires JavaScript to run correctly. Please turn on JavaScript or unblock scripts