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Manifold Takes the Oscars
It's too late to watch the films in theaters but not too late to trade on them
3 hrs ago
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Ben
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Forecasting Texas
The bellwether state for the midterms this fall
Mar 3
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Ben
19
Forecasting Operation Fury
On the markets, the metagame, and what 47% doesn't tell you.
Mar 1
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Sahaj
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Anthropic vs the Pentagon
Forecasting the standoff
Feb 26
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Above the Pitch
FIFA theatrics and the Premier league's annual tradition
Feb 25
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Sahaj
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Announcing MNX, the AI Exchange
We're very excited about this new project!
Feb 18
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Manifold Markets
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Distributed Liability
The geopolitics of knowing the wrong people
Feb 13
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Sahaj
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Super Bowl LX
It was one of the most memorable plays in Super Bowl history, and how you feel about it depends on which side you were cheering for.
Feb 8
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Manifold Markets
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