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ACX Contest x Manifold
The Astral Codex Ten annual forecasting competition was my introduction to the world of forecasting, several years back.
Apr 29
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Ben
28
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Forecasting California
Golden State politics are back
Apr 20
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Ben
21
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Announcing Manifest 2026!
Join us in Berkeley, CA on June 12-14
Apr 16
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Manifold Markets
22
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Forecasting AI Economics
IPOs, valuation markets, and the prospects of an AI bubble
Apr 11
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Ben
26
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Beyond the Fold
Forecasting the unfalsifiable.
Mar 30
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Sahaj
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1
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All Flanks, No Front
On Britain's safeguards, and their failure.
Mar 17
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Sahaj
22
Manifold Takes the Oscars
It's too late to watch the films in theaters but not too late to trade on them
Mar 12
•
Ben
19
2
1
Forecasting Texas
The bellwether state for the midterms this fall
Mar 3
•
Ben
21
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