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Above the Fold, Cards of Gold
What markets think will happen to the "Gold Card" pathway to citizenship, the Department of Education, and the rule of law in the US
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Ben
2
The Government Probably Isn't Shutting Down
Shutdown threats and called bluffs, Chinese AI developments, and a battle in higher ed.
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Ben
1
I bet against a space launch as I cheered it on
It changed how I bet on events I care about, and I learned something about balancing profit and emotion
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Rob Murrish
1
Recession Odds Skyrocket, Sky Rocket Odds Recede
Prediction markets weather a rough week on a number of fronts
 • 
Ben
1
Waclaud at the Oscars
Where the AI starts to beat us at our own games
 • 
Ben
AI and Political Realignments, Foreign and Domestic
Markets react to foreign policy shifts and new chatbot launches
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Ben
2
Predicting who will live the longest
How the longevity community and prediction markets answer long-term questions without waiting decades
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Rob Murrish
2
Above The Fold
Above The Fold
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