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Forecasting Gemini
Above the Fold is "Thinking with 3 Pro"
Nov 20
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Ben
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Above the Thames
What Happens When The Centre Cannot Hold (and isn't trying)
Nov 7
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Sahaj
23
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Election Day Marketeering
Above the Fold covers an off-year election day
Nov 4
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Ben
13
OpenManifold
Forecasting AI's leading firm
Oct 29
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Ben
16
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Calm Before the Storm
All the news that's fit to bet on
Oct 22
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Ben
18
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Nobel Season
Above the Fold plays the waiting game
Oct 9
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Ben
15
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Shutdowns and War Plans
Manifold forecasts a polycrisis
Sep 30
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Ben
20
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Experiments with Futarchy
Manifold becomes a battleground for a long-standing debate
Sep 26
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Ben
27
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