I don't think there's a precise estimate of this, but there's some % that effectively represents the "bond rate" on Manifold. Manifold puts out currency through initial liquidity subsidies, daily bonuses, league payouts, etc. This lowers the value of mana gradually over time, and as such there's some sort of base rate of mana growth that forecasters come to expect, below which it's not worth correcting markets or investing in long-term markets, for example.
What’s the manifold discount rate?
I don't think there's a precise estimate of this, but there's some % that effectively represents the "bond rate" on Manifold. Manifold puts out currency through initial liquidity subsidies, daily bonuses, league payouts, etc. This lowers the value of mana gradually over time, and as such there's some sort of base rate of mana growth that forecasters come to expect, below which it's not worth correcting markets or investing in long-term markets, for example.
Guys your AI 2027 website is down
Pls 🥺 fix it