Changelog 7/1: Manifold Jobs, Live Goal Markers, and a Big Pile of Small Improvements
We’ve been working on some really cool new things which are hopefully coming soon, but for now, here’s all of the minor improvements we’ve made in recent weeks.
New: Manifold Jobs
Many of our best traders have been recruited by trading firms. You could be next!
We launched an early version /jobs page listing open roles. It’s reachable from the new sidebar “More” menu, and
/careers,/job-board, etc. all redirect there.
If you’re looking for work, underemployed, or maybe hoping to transition into something more interesting — register your interest so we know who to connect you with.
Being interested in this space is a great signal for employers, even if you have had terrible luck trading. It takes less than 30 seconds, and there’s literally zero downside. I encourage everyone to check it out!
New: 2026 Midterms
New Midterms custom page, found on the browse page.
So far, it features entirely community-created markets. Featuring these markets is an indication that we trust these creators/markets and expect good resolutions. We will step in to prevent any misresolutions, but hopefully won’t need to. Huge thank you to our excellent creators who have made these markets far in advance.
If you have any markets you would like featured, please let me know! Ideally, tell us exactly how/where you would like it implemented. For example, if you click on Iowa, Ohio, or Minnesota in the Senate map, you will see extra markets attached with who is running. I’d like to add more things like this.
If you would like your markets removed because you intend to resolve in a ~strange way, let us know. Same goes for traders who spot markets with less-than-ideal criteria.
Betting & Markets
The versus bet modal pre-selects a side now. Instead of the old two-step “pick a side, then a buy form appears” flow (with that jarring layout jump), the modal opens straight into betting with both sides shown as a selector you can flip between in place.
World Cup knockout matches use that same standard versus modal, so two-team match markets bet the same way everywhere on the site.
Niche topics no longer get buried in your feed. Previously, tagging a market with an accurate broad topic (like “Business”) alongside a niche one (like “Mining”) could drag it down in your feed ranking. We changed the math so a strong niche match still surfaces the market to people who care about it.
Hardened betting against a rare race condition when lots of bets land on the same market at once. New bugs, new solutions! Should all be fixed now.
World Cup & Sports
Live goal & VAR markers on match charts. When a goal is scored, we now auto-drop a marker right on the price spike where the market reacted, and a second marker if VAR reverses the goal. It’s not perfect (in this case, VAR reversal came up before the goal), but it’s pretty cool and I’m proud of it. 85% market swing, both ways!
@ManifoldSports posts the final score as a comment when a match market resolves, so the result is right there on the page.
Resolved match markets leave your feed faster. Finished World Cup markets now drop out of your home/browse feed 15 minutes after they resolve so they stop cluttering things up. They’re still fully searchable and live on the dashboard.
A handful of sports dashboard touch-ups: a “see resolved matches” / back-to-top scroll button, a share button in the header, a shiny World Cup pill (+ back button) in browse, fixed UK home-nation flags, and better handling of knockout-stage names.
Reminder: You can share the World Cup dashboard with the share button at the top; this will include your referral code! If you ever feel like a referral was missed that you should have received, bug me about it. I want to fix every referral bug, and even if I can’t, if they confirm you referred them, we are happy to pay you out.
Verifying, Bonuses & New Users
Speaking of referrals.. We have clarified on the membership page how referral payouts work (paid in two parts, and the multiplier is set by the referrer’s tier at payout time).
We also fixed the referral page to contain useful (and accurate!) information about the status of anyone you have referred.
You can now buy mana with a credit card before verifying your identity. No more being routed to a verification wall just to make a purchase.
Buying mana unlocks full bonus earning — a completed purchase now earns you bonuses at the verified rate, even without ID verification. (USDC prize drawings still require verification.)
New users can do more before verifying. Unverified accounts now earn reduced bonuses (instead of nothing), can comment sooner, and get a clearer picture on the membership page of exactly what they’re earning now vs. what verifying or subscribing would unlock.
Prize eligibility is now separate from bonus eligibility. The practical upshot: an under-18 user keeps their mana bonuses but can’t enter cash prize drawings — and if entries get voided, the mana is refunded and clearly shown on the prize page.
Better message when verification is down. If our ID-verification provider is failing, you’ll now see “verification temporarily unavailable” instead of a generic “try again” that you’d retry forever. Huge thank you to the unlucky new user who encountered this and worked with me to debug it.
Prize Drawings
Status icons on each drawing — see at a glance whether a drawing needs action, is pending payment, or is paid, both in the dropdown and as a top-of-page nag if you have an unclaimed prize.
Winner notifications now deep-link straight to the exact drawing you won.
The past-drawings dropdown is restyled by tier, with progressively bolder gold styling for bigger jackpots.
The /prize page loads instantly now (skeleton placeholders) instead of sitting on a full-page spinner for 10–20s, plus some behind-the-scenes speedups to the chart.
Miscellaneous
Tidied up the desktop sidebar — About, Referrals, theme, and sign-out now live behind a clean “More” dropdown at the bottom (which is also where Jobs lives).
Favicons next to external links in comments, descriptions, and posts, so you can see at a glance where a link goes. We also hardened our link-safety checks along the way.
Filter your balance log by transaction type now (on top of the date filters and pagination we added last time).
Notification fixes — the group expander, the multi-avatar modal opener, and whole-card tap behavior all work correctly now.
Push notifications are no longer being delivered to wrong/logged-out accounts on devices where multiple accounts had signed in; each device’s push token now belongs to a single account. This was the #1 culprit for people receiving multiple prize drawing notifications, or not being able to turn them off. Inadvertently improved alt detection, too!
On mobile, page titles now sit on their own line above the buttons and tabs on the prize, charity, and dashboard pages, so nothing gets cramped.
The Restricted user badge is now visible to everyone on profiles and hovercards.
Inline market-mention chips use the white Manifold logo in dark mode now (no more dark-on-dark).
Checkout no longer goes blank if you have an expired-but-still-active mana offer.
Mods can unresolve individual answers on numeric/date threshold markets.
The stats page was stale for ~2 weeks, but the data was always intact. Now fixed; take a look if you wanted to see how we’re doing.
The “temporary” 2x trader bonuses are still live. The trader bonuses will continue for as long as we see a sustained increase in activity, so if you love the doubled bonuses: create a market.
Finally, if you love Manifold and want to see us thrive, here’s how you can help:
Register your interest on the jobs board
Buy merch! After your order ships, you’ll receive a time-sensitive offer to purchase mana at a discount (up to 30% off, 1 redemption per merch item). It would help a ton if you also bought mana.
Refer your friends! The infrastructure is improved; check it out!
It was a pleasure meeting many of you at Manifest. If I haven’t met you yet, feel free to contact me any time. I love chatting with everyone and would love to hear your compliments, complaints, suggestions, and the rest!